EIA: The net import of crude oil in the United States will drop by 20% in 2025. The us energy information administration (EIA) said on Tuesday that it is expected that the net import of crude oil in the United States will drop by 20% to 1.9 million barrels per day next year, which will be the lowest level since 1971, suggesting that the output of the United States will increase and the demand of refineries will decrease. EIA said in its Short-term Energy Outlook in December that the US oil production is expected to increase from 13.24 million barrels per day in 2024 to 13.52 million barrels per day in 2025. EIA also said that the crude oil processing capacity of refineries will be 16 million barrels per day in 2025, a decrease of 200,000 barrels per day compared with 2024. EIA now predicts that the average spot price of Brent crude oil in 2025 will be $73.58 per barrel, which is lower than the previous forecast of $76.06 per barrel. The average spot price of crude oil in the United States is $69.12 per barrel, which is lower than the last forecast of $71.60 per barrel.US Secretary of State Blinken discussed the Syrian issue with the foreign ministers of Jordan, the United Arab Emirates, Qatar and Egypt on Tuesday.OPEC Monthly Report: The economic growth rate of the euro zone in 2024 and 2025 is expected to be 0.8% and 1.2% respectively. (Previously 0.8% and 1.2% respectively)
Goldman Sachs: "According to our basic forecast, the tanker freight will drop slightly in the next few years, but if the diversion of tankers in the Red Sea and Russia ends, the tanker freight will further drop by 30%."German Foreign Ministry Spokesperson: Berlin will hold a Weimar Triangle Foreign Ministers' Meeting on Thursday, with the participation of representatives from Italy, Spain, Britain and the European Union. The Ukrainian Foreign Minister will also attend the Berlin Conference; Ministers will discuss the developments in Syria.The diversified layout of AI medical applications in enterprises has gradually become a climate. In the field of medical AI in 2024, with the rapid development of large language models and generative AI technologies, AI technologies in multiple scenarios, including Internet medical care, medical imaging, and new drug research and development, are releasing unprecedented value. People in the industry generally believe that "medical +AI" has broad prospects, and both patients and doctors will benefit from this scientific and technological revolution. (SSE)
Allianz's investment in national pension has been approved, and the pace of foreign investment in China's insurance market has accelerated. The State Financial Supervision and Administration recently approved the change of registered capital of national pension, and agreed that Allianz Investment Co., Ltd. will subscribe for 2% of the shares of national pension for about 284 million yuan, becoming the first foreign shareholder of national pension, thus increasing the registered capital of national pension to about 11.378 billion yuan. Since the beginning of this year, a number of foreign investors have increased the insurance market in China. Analysts said that this aspect shows that China's insurance industry has further deepened its opening to the outside world, providing a more relaxed policy environment for foreign investors to overweight China's insurance market; On the other hand, it shows that it has confidence in the development of insurance industry in China and will attract more foreign-funded institutions to enter the insurance market in China. (SSE)The winning bid rate of US 3-year Treasury bonds is slightly higher than the pre-issue trading level. The winning bid rate of US Treasury issued US$ 58 billion 3-year Treasury bonds is 4.117%, and the pre-issue trading level was 4.116% when the bidding closed at 1 pm new york time. The previous round of selling increased the yield by nearly 4 basis points. The market's response to the bidding results is minimal, and the yield of each term is still close to the intraday high. Primary dealers were allocated 15.1%, lower than the previous one; The proportion of direct bidders was increased to 20.7%, and the proportion of indirect bidders was reduced to 64.2%. The bid multiple is 2.58 times, and the average of the previous six times is 2.56 times.OPEC Monthly Report: Keep the global economic growth forecast unchanged at 3% in 2025 and 3.1% in 2024. We will raise the US economic growth forecast from 2.1% to 2.2% in 2025 and from 2.7% to 2.8% in 2024.
Strategy guide
Strategy guide 12-13